2026 General ElectionElection day: 7 November 2026 Updated 1 September 2026

Data provenance

Sources

Polling, model output and political classification are different evidence. NZ Polls identifies each layer and links the material used to build it.

Current polling series

  • Roy Morgan: Monthly New Zealand voting-intention series.
  • Reid Research: National voting-intention polling published with RNZ.
  • Verian: The 1News political poll, formerly associated with Colmar Brunton and Kantar Public.
  • Curia: Recurring Taxpayers' Union–Curia voting-intention series.
  • Talbot Mills: Political polling reported by New Zealand media and commissioning organisations.
  • Freshwater Strategy: Voting-intention polling published with The Post.

Political positions and party map

Global Party Survey scores date from 2019 and are a baseline, not a claim that parties never move. Parties absent from that release use a visibly labelled editorial synthesis with wider uncertainty.

Party-match source material

The 20-question matrix is reviewed against current official party material. These are primary policy hubs; question screens identify the parties whose material is most relevant to each classification.

The five-point scores remain NZ Polls editorial judgements. An absent or contradictory position is classified as mixed or unclear rather than inferred from a party's broader ideology.

Discovery and historical archives

The current and historical Wikipedia polling tables are used as discovery and cross-check indexes under CC BY-SA 4.0. Completed-cycle archive tables preserve that attribution. Current polls link to original releases wherever available.

Election rules and results

Election dates, MMP rules, registered-party information and certified results are checked against the New Zealand Electoral Commission and official election-results service.

Original releases in the current dataset

33 distinct release links support the current 33-poll dataset. Open any source arrow in the latest poll table.

Reuse and corrections

We do not copy competitor prose, visual artwork, proprietary datasets or model code. Original publishers remain authoritative for methodology and corrections.